在坚持绿色发展的同时维持工业经济持续发展是我国当前面临的重大发展问题之一。本文采集了我国省际工业和环保数据,构建面板门槛模型并引入地方政府行为代理变量,为“环境规制—工业经济发展”提供合乎现实的经济解释。研究发现:(1)环境规制是影响工业经济发展的重要因素,较低或较高水平的环境规制强度均不利于工业经济发展,而适宜的环境规制强度则能通过倒逼效应促使工业经济良性循环;(2)地方政府的绩效考核压力并不必然减损环境规制的效力,适度的地方政府官员晋升压力可以激发环境规制的正向促进作用;(3)地方政府财政收支基本平衡时,所实施的环境规制政策将接近理论最优水平,依此最大限度地促进工业经济发展;(4)适宜的财政分权程度有助于政府将有限的精力从如何创收中解脱出来,使环境规制与工业经济发展相得益彰。
It is one of the major development problems that China is facing at present to maintain the sustainable development of industrial economy and green development at the same time. To this end, this paper attempts to provide a realistic economic explanation for "environmental regulation - industrial economic development". The study found that environmental regulation is an important factor affecting the development of industrial economy. The lower and higher environmental regulation intensity is not conducive to the development of industrial economy, and the appropriate environmental regulation intensity can form a "reverse effect" to enhance the industrial economy; local government The performance appraisal pressure does not necessarily detract from the effectiveness of environmental regulation. Moderate local government officials' promotion pressure can stimulate environmental regulation potential and promote industrial economic development. When local government fiscal revenues and expenditures are basically balanced, the environmental regulation policies implemented will be close to the most Excellent "level" to promote industrial economic development; suitable fiscal decentralization is conducive to the government to free limited energy from "how to generate income", which is conducive to environmental regulation approaching "optimal" level.
[1]Gregory B.Christainsen,Robert H.Haveman.The Contribution of Environmental Regulations to the Slowdown in Productivity Growth[J].Journal of Environmental Economics & Management,1981(4): 381-390.
[2]Frank M.Gollop,Mark J.Roberts.Environmental Regulations and Productivity Growth: the Case of Fossil-fueled Electric Power Generation[J].Journal of Political Economy,1983(4): 654-674.
[3]Anthony J.Barbera,Virginia D.McConnell.The Impact of Invironmental Regulations on Industry Productivity: Direct and Indirect Effects[J].Journal of Environmental Economics & Management,1990(1): 50-65.
[4]A.Jaffe S.,Peterson P.Portney,R.Stavins.Environmental Regulation and the Competitiveness of U.S.Manufacturing: What Does the Evidence Tell us[J].Journal of Economic Literature,1995(1): 132-163.
[5]Gray W.B.,Shadbegian R.J..Environmental Regulation and Manufacturing Productivity at the Plant Level[Z].Working Papers,2001.
[6]王灿,陈吉宁,邹骥.基于CGE模型的CO2减排对中国经济的影响[J].清华大学学报,2005(12): 1621-1624.
[7]赵霄伟.环境规制、环境规制竞争与地区工业经济增长——基于空间Durbin面板模型的实证研究[J].国际贸易问题,2014(7): 82-92.
[8]余伟,陈强,陈华.环境规制、技术创新与经营绩效——基于37个工业行业的实证分析[J].科研管理,2017(2):18-25.
[9]Porter M.E.,Linde C.V..Toward a New Conception of the Environment-competitiveness Relationship[J].Journal of Economic Perspectives,1995(4): 97-118.
[10]Robert D. Mohr.Technical Change,External Economies,and the Porter Hypothesis[J].Journal of Environmental Economics & Management,2002(1): 158-168.
[11]Cerin P..Bringing Economic Opportunity into Line with Environmental Influence: a Discussion on the Coase Theorem and the Porter and van der Linde Hypothesis[J].Ecological Economics,2006(2): 209-225.
[12]王兵,吴延瑞,颜鹏飞.环境管制与全要素生产率增长:APEC的实证研究[J].经济研究,2008(5): 19-32.
[13]陈诗一.节能减排与中国工业的双赢发展: 2009—2049[J].经济研究,2010(3): 129-143.
[14]李树,陈刚.环境管制与生产率增长——以APPCL2000的修订为例[J].经济研究,2013(1): 17-31.
[15]张同斌.提高环境规制强度能否“利当前”并“惠长远”[J].财贸经济,2017(3): 116-130.
[16]史贝贝,冯晨,张妍,杨菲.环境规制红利的边际递增效应[J].中国工业经济,2017(12):42-60.
[17]韩超,张伟广,冯展斌.环境规制如何“去”资源错配——基于中国首次约束性污染控制的分析[J].中国工业经济,2017(4):117-136.
[18]蒋伏心,王竹君,白俊红.环境规制对技术创新影响的双重效应——基于江苏制造业动态面板数据的实证研究[J].中国工业经济,2013(7): 44-55.
[19]张艳磊,秦芳,吴昱.“可持续发展”还是“以污染换增长”——基于中国工业企业销售增长模式的分析[J].中国工业经济,2015(2): 89-101.
[20]张成,陆旸,郭路,于同申.环境规制强度和生产技术进步[J].经济研究,2011(2): 113-124.
[21]王杰,刘斌.环境规制与企业全要素生产率——基于中国工业企业数据的经验分析[J].中国工业经济,2014(3): 44-56.
[22]刘和旺,郑世林,左文婷.环境规制对企业全要素生产率的影响机制研究[J].科研管理,2016(5): 33-41.
[23]Wang Ruxi,Wijen Frank,Heugens Pursey P.M.A.R..Government’s Green Grip: Multifaceted State Influence on Corporate Environmental Actions in China[J].Strategic Management Journal,2018(2):403-428.
[24]王丽霞,陈新国,姚西龙.环境规制政策对工业企业绿色发展绩效影响的门限效应研究[J].经济问题,2018(1):84-87.
[25]陈超凡,韩晶,毛渊龙.环境规制、行业异质性与中国工业绿色增长——基于全要素生产率视角的非线性检验[J].山西财经大学学报,2018(3):65-80.
[26]王涛,石丹.环境规制与区域工业经济增长——规模和效率的门槛效应[J].工业技术经济,2018(4): 70-77.
[27]吴静.环境规制能否促进工业“创造性破坏”——新熊彼特主义的理论视角[J].财经科学,2018(5):67-78.
[28]Judith M.Dean,Mary E.Lovely,Hua Wang.Are Foreign Investors Attracted to Weak Environmental Regulations? Evaluating the Evidence from China[J].Journal of Development Economics,2009(1): 1-13.
[29]徐志伟.工业经济发展、环境规制强度与污染减排效果[J].财经研究,2016(2): 134-144.
[30]Matthew A.Cole,Robert J.R. Elliott,Jing Zhang.Corruption,Governance and FDI Location in China: a Province-level Analysis[J].Journal of Development Studies,2009(9): 1494-1512.
[31]Beata K.Smarzynska,Shang-Jin Wei.Corruption and Composition of Foreign Direct Investment: Firm Level Evidences[Z].NBER Working Paper 7969,2000.
[32]周黎安.中国地方官员的晋升锦标赛模式研究[J].经济研究,2007(7): 36-50.
[33]宫汝凯.财政不平衡和房价上涨:中国的证据[J].金融研究,2015(4): 66-81.
[34]Jin Jing,Zou Hengfu.How Does Fiscal Decentralization Affect Aggregate,National,and Sub-national Government Size?[J].Journal of Urban Economics,2002(2): 270-293.
[35]Ying Ding.Fiscal Decentralization and Economic Growth in China,1994-2002[J].Economic Development & Cultural Change,2000(1): 1-21.
[36]Bruce E.,Hansen B.E..Threshold Effects in Non-dynamic Panels: Estimation,Testing,and Inference[J].Journal of Econometrics,1999(2): 345-368.
[37]Viet Anh Dang,Minjoo Kim,Yongcheol Shin.Asymmetric Capital Structure Adjustments:New Evidence from Dynamic Panel Threshold Models[J].Journal of Empirical Finance,2012(4):465-482.
