This paper, based on synergetic theory, regards modern logistics and manufacturing as a composite system, constructs the Evaluation Index System and CRITIC Complex System Coordination Model, selects the data from 2006 to 2015 in Xinjiang to make an empirical analysis. And the results show: the degree of order of Xinjiang modern logistics industry is increasing. The degree of order of Xinjiang manufacturing is showed a rising trend. The coordination degree of compound system is showing M-type development trend, but the overall development is slow. Sensitivity analysis finds: the input parameter increasing or decreasing by 10% will significantly affect the size of the complex system. The coordination degree of compound system is the most sensitive to the number of employees in the urban logistics industry, the second sensitive to the mileage of the highway, is the least sensitive to the maintenance of the truck. This paper presents recommendations for promoting synergistic development.