本文在理论分析外商直接投资和对外贸易对物流产业集聚与制造业工业增加值的内在作用机理的基础上,利用中国31个省区2003年—2014年的面板数据对FDI与对外贸易的调节效应进行经验分析。研究结果表明:物流产业集聚对制造业工业增加值具有显著的正向影响;外商直接投资对物流产业集聚与制造业工业增加值的关系具有显著的正向调节作用,即外商直接投资的规模越大,越有利于物流产业集聚对制造业工业增加值提升作用的发挥;对外贸易发展水平对物流产业集聚与制造业工业增加值关系的调节作用不显著。
Based on the theoretical analysis of the relationship among FDI, foreign trade,logistics industrial cluster and manufacturingadded value, using the panel data of 31 provinces from the year 2003 to 2014,this paper makes an empirical analysis of the FDI and foreign trade moderating effect. The results show that logistics industrial cluster has a positive impact on the manufacturing added value. In addition, FDI prominently moderates the relationship between logistics industrial cluster and manufacturingadded value. That is to say, the more FDI, the mor manufacturing added valueis.What's more, the development level of foreign trade has little effect on the adjustment of logistics industrialcluster and manufacturing added value.
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