Finance & Economics of Xinjiang

Finance & Economics of Xinjiang ›› 2017, Vol. 0 ›› Issue (4): 31-38.DOI: 10.16716/j.cnki.65-1030/f.2017.04.004

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A Study of Collaborative Development of Modern Logistics and Manufacturing Based on CRITIC Complex System Coordination Degree Model — Taking Xinjiang As An Example

Song Mingzhen, Zhang Shengyi   

  1. Xinjiang University of Finance and Economics, Urumqi 830012, China
  • Received:2017-05-11 Online:2020-11-26 Published:2017-08-25

新疆现代物流业与制造业的协同发展研究 — 基于CRITIC复合系统协同度模型

宋明珍, 张晟义   

  1. 新疆财经大学 工商管理学院,新疆 乌鲁木齐 830012
  • 作者简介:宋明珍(1987-),男,助教,研究方向:物流与供应链管理、区域物流;张晟义(1970- ) ,男,教授,博士,博士生导师,新疆维吾尔自治区普通高等学校人文社会科学重点研究基地(新疆企业发展研究中心)专职研究员,研究方向: 运营管理、物流与供应链管理。
  • 基金资助:
    中国物流协会面上课题“适应丝绸之路经济带核心区建设的新疆制造业与物流业协同发展的路径与机制研究”(2017CSLKT3-159);国家自然科学基金项目“地沟油地下经济的生成机理及其对能源生物质供应体系的损害”(71362032);教育部人文社会科学规划基金项目“生物质能视角下的黑色化涉农(食品)供应链治理”(12YJAZH198) ;新疆维吾尔自治区重点人文社会科学研究基地新疆企业发展研究中心青年项目“新疆本土物流企业服务能力研究”

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Abstract: This paper, based on synergetic theory, regards modern logistics and manufacturing as a composite system, constructs the Evaluation Index System and CRITIC Complex System Coordination Model, selects the data from 2006 to 2015 in Xinjiang to make an empirical analysis. And the results show: the degree of order of Xinjiang modern logistics industry is increasing. The degree of order of Xinjiang manufacturing is showed a rising trend. The coordination degree of compound system is showing M-type development trend, but the overall development is slow. Sensitivity analysis finds: the input parameter increasing or decreasing by 10% will significantly affect the size of the complex system. The coordination degree of compound system is the most sensitive to the number of employees in the urban logistics industry, the second sensitive to the mileage of the highway, is the least sensitive to the maintenance of the truck. This paper presents recommendations for promoting synergistic development.

Key words: Modern Logistics, Manufacturing Industry, Evaluation of Compound System Coordination Degree

摘要： 本文以协同学理论为基础,将现代物流业与制造业视为复合系统,构建二者评价指标体系和CRITIC复合系统协同度模型,选取新疆2006年—2015年数据进行实证分析。研究表明:新疆现代物流业有序度呈逐年上升趋势,制造业有序度呈波动上升趋势,复合系统协同度呈现增减交替的M型发展趋势,整体发展缓慢;通过敏感度分析发现,本文所选四个投入型序参量增加或减少10%均会明显影响复合系统协同度大小,复合系统协同度对城镇物流业从业人员数最为敏感,其次为公路通车里程,对载货汽车保有量敏感性最弱。最后,结合分析结果提出促进二者协同发展的建议。

关键词: 现代物流业, 制造业, 复合系统协同度评价

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