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The Rationality Research of the Current GDP and Tax Changes——Based on the Data under “the New Normal” Economy
Bai Yanfeng, Qiao Lu
2015, (5):
5-13.
In this paper,through 2012—2014 GDP and tax revenue and its growth rate,tax revenue as a share of GDP,we analyze the interaction and the mutual influence relations between economic growth and tax revenue.It is concluded that the rationality and reasons of the GDP and tax revenue and its growth rate changes under“the new normal” economy.Next,we make an empirical analysis of the rationality of the GDP and tax revenue and its growth rate change that use stationary test, cointegration test,Granger causality test,VAR model,impulse response analysis. Finally,we think that GDP as indicators of economic is not comprehensive under “the new normal”economy,so based on the rationality and economy downward pressure,the following policy suggestions are given:First,foster new economic growth engine.Second,implement the development strategy of innovation drive.Third,expand domestic demand.Fourth,implement the loose monetary policy.Fifth,reform fiscal and taxation system and make it adapt to social and economic development.Sixth,increase the efficiency of fiscal expenditure.Seventh,attach importance to the coordinated development of regional.Eighth,be confident in economic stability.
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